Evromillions

Statistiques d'euromillions | stats d'euro lottery | euro-millions.com

Predicting the Outcome of the EuroMillions Draw

You have to understand that probability theory is simply a reliable guide.  Naturally, the expected frequency and the actual frequency will not always match exactly.

You use probability to predict the future outcome of the game to guide you on how to play your game.

For example, if we want to know in advance the outcome of EuroMillions after 2000 draws, we use the same formula for expected frequency:

If we are to predict the outcome of all the odd-even patterns, we will come up with the following prediction table below:

Pattern Probability Estimated Occurrence in 2000 draws
3-odd-2-even 0.3256621797655230 651 times
2-odd-3-even 0.3256621797655230 651 times
4-odd-1-even 0.1492618323925310 299 times
4-even-1-odd 0.1492618323925310 299 times
All-odd 0.0250759878419453 50 times
All-even 0.0250759878419453 50 times

As a smart EuroMillions player, you don’t want to waste your money on patterns with low probability. That is the power of probability calculation as we apply it in EuroMillions.

As a lotto player, you want to win the jackpot. Therefore, you should stick with either 3-odd-2-even or 2-odd-3-even and forget about the rest of the patterns.

You get the same idea when it comes to low-high patterns.  You don’t want to pick a combination whose composition is purely low numbers or strictly high numbers.

However, EuroMillions is not only about low-high or odd-even patterns.

We discuss low-high and odd-even patterns to show that the lottery can be predicted to an extent.  But the low-high and odd-even patterns don’t provide the whole picture of the EuroMillions game.

You must understand the EuroMillions game as a whole if you want to win the game.  For you to achieve that, you have to understand intricate combinatorial patterns, which is the real key to EuroMillions’ success.

Let’s proceed to discuss what advanced patterns can do to level up your lotto playing strategy.

Combinatorial Patterns in EuroMillions

Let me describe a mathematical method that will catapult you to Euro Million’s success.  Deep within the finite sets of EuroMillions numbers are combinatorial patterns that should tell you the best combinations to play and the worst ones to avoid.

The image above describes the complete randomness of a lottery game. It shows that the lotteries are made up of independent random draws that, when put together with time, exhibit a mathematically deterministic behavior given the law of large numbers. See The Visual Analysis of a True Random Lottery with Deterministic Outcome

Let me clarify that we don’t need statistics to determine the best combinations in a lottery game.  Statistics is not the right tool to analyze a lottery game.

So if statistical analysis will not provide the best clue, what will?

Well, since the lottery has a finite structure, any question that we ask is a combinatorial and probability problem to solve rather than statistical.

So instead of statistics, we need the concept of combinatorics and probability theory.   These two mathematical tools will help predict the general outcome of the EuroMillions game from the perspective of the law of large numbers.

This prediction is possible because a truly random lottery follows the dictate of probability.

Again, we can explain this better from the context of combinatorial patterns.

For example, we can ask:

“What is the probability that the next winning numbers will be 1-2-3-4-5?”

To solve this question combinatorially, we can rephrase the question this way:

“What is the probability that the next winning numbers will be three-odds and two-even numbers?”

Can you see it? Composition matters.

And the composition of a combination is best described using a combinatorial pattern.  You can look at combinatorial patterns in many different ways.  There are simple patterns and there are Lotterycodex patterns.

We will talk about Lotterycodex patterns later (you don’t want to miss this section).

Let’s discuss the simple ones first.

Knowing the Best and the Worst Combination Should Help

Getting the right composition will surely give you the best shot possible at winning the EuroMillions.  Of course, you don’t win any money by matching the pattern.  But as a lotto player, you want to play with a sensible strategy and get closer to the winning numbers.

Lotterycodex has no power to change the underlying probability.  But Lotterycodex can calculate all the possible choices so you can make the right choice.

The lottery should be fun.  But at least be sensible when choosing your combinations and don’t waste your money on worthless combinations.

You don’t increase your chance of winning by choosing the right composition.  But when you play the Euromillions, you want to play with the best ratio of success to failure.  So don’t waste your money on useless combinations.  Lotterycodex patterns are here to guide you on that aspect. (Check out the Lotterycodex Calculators)

I encourage you to check the free guide to learn more about how we calculate everything.  Lotterycodex is the only lottery calculator that combines combinatorics and probability calculation in one system.

If you are playing blindly, there’s no guarantee you are not falling into one of these worst patterns in EuroMillions. So I propose that you should incorporate the use of probability theory in your playing strategy.

The benefits are apparent.  First, you are confident that you are not wasting your money, and second, you get the best shot at winning the game.

The difference between the best and the worst is so huge. You don’t want to take it for granted.

We don’t say that those combinations under the worst group will not occur.  We say that those combinations have the worst ratio of success to failure.

The Huge Difference Between Odds and Probability

Odds and probability are two different terms with two different equations.  The difference between the two can be best describe when we study the composition of combinations. 

As a lotto player, you don’t have the power to change the underlying probability and you cannot beat the odds of the Euromillions game.  But you have the power to know all the possible choices and make the right decision based on those choices.

And making the right choice is possible when you know the difference between odds and probability.

What is the difference?

Probability refers to the measurement that an event will likely occur.  And we measure the likelihood by using the formula:

We normally expressed the results of this formula in percentage.

Now, to get the odds, we use this formula instead:

What you get from this formula is a ratio.

So the difference is that the probability is the measurement of chance while the odds are the ratio of success to failure.

In layman’s term, the difference between odds and probability can be described in the following way:

Probability = Chance

Odds = Advantage

That is, you cannot control the probability and you cannot beat the odds, but at least you can choose the best odds and get the best ratio of success to failure.

Let’s consider the combination 2-4-6-8-10. This combination is composed of 5 even numbers with no odd numbers. This combination belongs to the 0-odd-5-even group.

In the Euromillions game, there are 53,130 ways you can combine 5 numbers that are all even numbers and no odd numbers.

Therefore we calculate the odds of a 0-odd-5-even in the following way:

Odds of 5-even-0-odd = 53,130 / 2,065,630

This means that 2-4-6-8-10 and all similar combinations under the group of 0-odd-5-even will give you 2 or 3 opportunities to match the winning combinations for every 100 attempts that you play the Euromillions game.

As you can see, a combination such as 2-4-6-8-10 offers a very low ratio of success.

In comparison, you will have a better ratio of success when you pick a more balanced odd and even numbers.

Let’s prove that.

There are 690,000 ways you can combine numbers of type 3-odd-2-even. If we calculate the odds, we get:

Odds of 3-odd-2-even = 690,000 / 1,428,760

In simple terms, a 3-odd-2-even combination will give you the opportunity to match the winning numbers 32 to 33 times in every 100 attempts that you play the Euromillions game.

If we compare the two classes of combinations, we can see a big difference:

0-odd-5-even VS 3-odd-2-even

0-odd-5-even 3-odd-2-even
2 to 3 opportunities to match the winning numbers in every 100 draws 32 to 33 opportunities to match the winning numbers in every 100 draws
The worst ratio of success The best ratio of success
The worst choice An intelligent choice

In a random event like the Euromillions game, making an intelligent choice requires mathematical strategy.  We calculate all the possible choices and finally make an intelligent choice.

Remember this: As a EuroMillions player, your objective is to get a better ratio of success to failure. Know all the possible choices and make an intelligent choice.

I explained the details of this mathematical strategy in my article The Lottery and the Winning Formula of Combinatorial Math and Probability Theory.

But to give you a gist of how to make an intelligent choice, let’s dig deeper through these combinatorial patterns below.

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Евромиллионс

Как принять участие в лотерейной игре евромиллионс (euromillions) на территории рф | big lottos

Правила игры

Все европейское кажется нам непонятным и запутанным. Но это — только поначалу. Стоит только освоить правила и начать игру, как все становится на свои места. А если еще параллельно изучить статистику выпадения номеров (представлена на официальном сайте euromillions на русском языке), то мотивация к игре возрастет в разы.

Шанс выигрыша в Евромиллион один из призов 1/13, а это очень высокий показатель. Ну, а вообще таблица шансов выглядит следующим образом:

Комбинация Шансы на победу Средней размер приза
5 + 2 звезды 1 из 116 531 800 37 828 849,43£
5 + 1 звезда 1 из 6 473 989 313 890,83£
5 1 из 3 236 995 54 946,16£
4 + 2 звезды 1 из 517 920 3 285,86£
4 + 1 звезда 1 из 28 774 147,73£
4 1 из 14 487 72,08£
3 + 2 звезды 1 из 11 771 46,79£
2 + 2 звезды 1 из 882 14,13£
3 + 1 звезда 1 из 654 10,35£
3 1 из 327 8,61£
1 + 2 звезды 1 из 157 7,55£
2 + 1 звезда 1 из 46 5,68£
2 1 из 23 2,87£

Но вернемся к правилам. Расскажу вкратце: игрок выбирает пять чисел от 1 до 50 и еще два дополнительных номера от 1 до 11, так называемые Lucky Stars. Именно они и выполняют ключевую роль в выигрыше.

Эти пять основных номеров дают возможность выигрывать денежные призы средней категории, а «счастливые звезды» освещают путь к абсолютной победе — самому Джек-поту.

Согласно теории вероятности, правильно угадать такое количество номеров невозможно априори. Но попробуйте высказать свои сомнения кому-то из игроков- европейцев — результаты тиражей Евромиллионов удивляют количеством лотерейных миллионеров.

Минимальный Джек-пот составляет 15 миллионов евро. Периодически организаторы устраивают супер-тиражи, при которых главный приз стартует от 100 миллионов евро.

Сколько стоит билет

По европейским меркам — сущие копейки. Два евро за один билет плюс один евро за дополнительную опцию «Millionaire Raffle».

Для тех, кто не в курсе, эта дополнительная опция позволяет выбрать вместо 5 цифр ещё одну или несколько, что значительно увеличивает шансы на победу. Насколько я знаю, дополнительный розыгрыш Millionaire Raffle россиянам недоступен.

2 евро по нынешнему курсу равны 122,9 рубля. Цена на уровне большинства отечественных лотерей, что в свою очередь является большим плюсом.

How to Play

Playing EuroMillions Plus is very similar to playing EuroMillions, but without the Lucky Stars. For an additional €1 per line, you can opt in to the Plus game when you purchase your main EuroMillions entries for the Tuesday draw, Friday draw, or both.

To add Plus to your ticket, you will need to select your EuroMillions numbers as usual and then tick the ‘Add EuroMillions Plus’ box located on the play slip. You will not need to pick any additional numbers, as those on your ticket are entered into both draws (with the exception of the Lucky Stars).

Five numbers are randomly drawn, with prizes awarded if your original EuroMillions numbers match three or more of the five ’Plus’ numbers drawn.

Prizes

There are three prize tiers available, with a guaranteed top prize of €500,000 for matching all five numbers.

Prize Tier Prize
Match 5 €500,000
Match 4 €2,000
Match 3 €20

Advance Play

The Advance Play option allows you to purchase your tickets up to eight draws in advance by simply ticking the Advance Play box for the number of draws you wish to participate in (e.g. one, two, four, six or eight). Any prizes won from an Advance Play ticket are claimed in the usual way.

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